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Michigan's 12th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.

Model Michigan's 12th Congressional District →

Michigan's 12th Congressional District — highlighted within Michigan's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+44.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Rashida Tlaib Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+44.3

2024 votes cast

363,499

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Rashida Tlaib's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#18 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

16.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 766,047 people, median age 37.6, median household income $58,942.

Population

766,047

Median age

37.6

Median household income

$58,942

Bachelor's degree or higher

26.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 46.2% · Black 44% · Hispanic 3.3% · Asian 1.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

408 precincts reported in Michigan's 12th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
26163-City of Detroit, CB 56 Democratic D+87.6 3,682
26163-City of Detroit, CB 65 Democratic D+89.4 3,542
26163-City of Detroit, CB 60 Democratic D+90.4 3,500
26163-City of Detroit, CB 54 Democratic D+89.3 3,483
26163-City of Detroit, CB 57 Democratic D+89.1 3,440
26163-City of Detroit, CB 61 Democratic D+91.1 3,418
26163-City of Detroit, CB 45 Democratic D+88.3 3,228
26163-City of Detroit, CB 43 Democratic D+87.8 3,226
26163-Redford Township, Precinct 6 Democratic D+29.2 3,209
26163-City of Detroit, CB 47 Democratic D+87.3 3,164
26163-City of Detroit, CB 48 Democratic D+89.6 3,073
26163-City of Detroit, CB 55 Democratic D+83.3 3,040
26163-Redford Township, Precinct 9 Democratic D+47.0 3,034
26163-City of Detroit, CB 59 Democratic D+91.0 2,805
26163-City of Detroit, CB 44 Democratic D+89.0 2,723
26163-City of Detroit, CB 53 Democratic D+89.0 2,607
26163-City of Detroit, CB 58 Democratic D+90.2 2,453
26163-City of Detroit, CB 46 Democratic D+85.7 2,432
26163-Redford Township, Precinct 3 Democratic D+37.3 2,345
26163-City of Detroit, CB 49 Democratic D+78.7 2,335

All 408 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Michigan's 12th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan's 12th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Michigan's 12th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Michigan's 12th Congressional District?
Rashida Tlaib (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan's 12th Congressional District?
D+44.3 — 253,354 Democratic, 92,490 Republican, of 363,499 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Michigan's 12th Congressional District?
Michigan's 12th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 16.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 18 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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