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Michigan's 1st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan's 1st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jack Bergman Republican
2024 result
Republican R+21.2
2024 votes cast
477,184
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jack Bergman's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
—estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 780,170 people, median age 47.4, median household income $62,352.
Population
780,170
Median age
47.4
Median household income
$62,352
Bachelor's degree or higher
27.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 89.8% · Black 1.2% · Hispanic 2.2% · Asian 0.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
539 precincts reported in Michigan's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26041-Wells Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+17.3 | 4,094 |
| 26041-City of Escanaba, Precinct 3 | Democratic | D+23.6 | 3,772 |
| 26041-City of Escanaba, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+21.9 | 3,507 |
| 26069-City of East Tawas, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+20.4 | 3,369 |
| 26041-City of Escanaba, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+24.3 | 3,176 |
| 26041-City of Gladstone, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 3,059 |
| 26069-Oscoda Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+20.3 | 2,979 |
| 26069-Plainfield Township, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+17.6 | 2,945 |
| 26041-Escanaba Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+16.1 | 2,913 |
| 26041-City of Gladstone, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+21.6 | 2,847 |
| 26019-Almira Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+12.5 | 2,697 |
| 26041-Ford River Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 2,688 |
| 26055-Long Lake Twp Pct 3 | Republican | D+13.7 | 2,602 |
| 26069-Ausable Township, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+21.2 | 2,460 |
| 26055-Peninsula Twp Pct 1 | Democratic | D+3.3 | 2,403 |
| 26029-City of Boyne City, Precinct 16 | Republican | D+10.0 | 2,375 |
| 26055-Peninsula Twp Pct 2 | Democratic | D+7.9 | 2,369 |
| 26047-Bear Creek Township Precinct 2 | Republican | D+20.1 | 2,330 |
| 26143-Richfield Township Precinct 1 | Republican | D+31.4 | 2,306 |
| 26069-Oscoda Township, Precinct 4 | Democratic | D+22.7 | 2,293 |
All 539 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan's 1st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →