electionsmcp › races › Michigan State House District 20
Michigan State House District 20
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan State House District 20 →
Current officeholder
Noah Arbit Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+6.5
2024 votes cast
59,673
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
36 precincts reported in Michigan State House District 20's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26125-COMMERCE TOWNSHIP 9 Ward 0 | Republican | R+18.8 | 2,220 |
| 26125-COMMERCE TOWNSHIP 13 Ward 0 | Republican | R+10.5 | 2,193 |
| 26125-COMMERCE TOWNSHIP 3 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+5.1 | 2,062 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 8 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+5.5 | 2,008 |
| 26125-COMMERCE TOWNSHIP 5 Ward 0 | Republican | R+21.5 | 1,998 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 10 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+18.3 | 1,970 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 4 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+8.3 | 1,883 |
| 26125-COMMERCE TOWNSHIP 4 Ward 0 | Republican | R+20.4 | 1,880 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 16 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+14.2 | 1,877 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 22 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+20.6 | 1,855 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 12 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+39.3 | 1,839 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 5 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+1.8 | 1,832 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 24 Ward 0 | Republican | R+19.5 | 1,812 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 11 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+27.3 | 1,796 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 17 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+28.9 | 1,747 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 1 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+23.7 | 1,735 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 2 Ward 0 | Republican | R+21.0 | 1,731 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 25 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+6.1 | 1,711 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 13 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+29.1 | 1,691 |
| 26125-WEST BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP 20 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+20.2 | 1,667 |
All 36 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan State House District 20 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan State House District 20 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan State House District 20 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Michigan State House District 20?
Noah Arbit (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan State House District 20?
D+6.5 — 31,764 Democratic, 27,909 Republican, of 59,673 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.