electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State House District 40
Tennessee State House District 40
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State House District 40 →
Current officeholder
Michael Hale Republican
2024 result
Republican R+67.5
2024 votes cast
30,200
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
44 precincts reported in Tennessee State House District 40's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47015-1-1 Westside | Republican | R+70.9 | 1,444 |
| 47159-03 New Middleton | Republican | R+72.2 | 1,272 |
| 47041-3-1 Church of God | Republican | R+68.4 | 1,260 |
| 47041-4-3 Courthouse | Republican | R+65.2 | 1,234 |
| 47015-3-2 Woodland | Republican | R+75.4 | 1,227 |
| 47159-05 Gordonsville | Republican | R+74.2 | 1,215 |
| 47159-01 Defeated | Republican | R+71.8 | 1,094 |
| 47159-07 South Carthage | Republican | R+70.3 | 1,072 |
| 47189-15-1 | Republican | R+65.0 | 1,062 |
| 47015-4-1 Eastside | Republican | R+71.9 | 1,059 |
| 47159-02 Tanglewood | Republican | R+65.2 | 1,058 |
| 47159-08 Elmwood | Republican | R+67.2 | 1,048 |
| 47041-7-1 Church of Christ | Republican | R+70.7 | 1,030 |
| 47159-04 Rock City | Republican | R+69.7 | 1,018 |
| 47041-1-1 Alexandria | Republican | R+70.1 | 911 |
| 47015-5-1 Woodbury | Republican | R+52.9 | 888 |
| 47041-5-2 County Complex | Republican | R+70.9 | 853 |
| 47159-06 Carthage | Republican | R+50.7 | 799 |
| 47041-2-1 Liberty | Republican | R+65.2 | 747 |
| 47041-6-2 Keltonburg | Republican | R+75.2 | 686 |
All 44 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State House District 40 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State House District 40 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State House District 40 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State House District 40?
Michael Hale (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State House District 40?
R+67.5 — 4,913 Democratic, 25,287 Republican, of 30,200 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.