electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State House District 38
Tennessee State House District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State House District 38 →
Current officeholder
Kelly Keisling Republican
2024 result
Republican R+88.8
2024 votes cast
27,915
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
45 precincts reported in Tennessee State House District 38's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47151-7-1 West Oneida | Republican | R+91.3 | 1,577 |
| 47151-4-1 Helenwood | Republican | R+91.1 | 1,218 |
| 47151-6-1 Oneida | Republican | R+87.6 | 1,135 |
| 47151-1-1 Fairview | Republican | R+92.4 | 1,083 |
| 47111-Armory | Republican | R+86.4 | 1,082 |
| 47111-Willette | Republican | R+89.1 | 1,080 |
| 47111-County High School | Republican | R+90.3 | 1,026 |
| 47111-Welcome Center | Republican | R+92.2 | 987 |
| 47111-Westside | Republican | R+85.4 | 936 |
| 47111-Central | Republican | R+88.3 | 888 |
| 47151-5-2 Winfield | Republican | R+90.5 | 877 |
| 47049-Pine Haven | Republican | R+83.0 | 854 |
| 47049-Crossroads | Republican | R+91.5 | 832 |
| 47111-Cross Roads | Republican | R+89.1 | 815 |
| 47111-County Junior High | Republican | R+88.5 | 800 |
| 47151-3-1 Huntsville | Republican | R+89.9 | 770 |
| 47111-Red Boiling Springs | Republican | R+86.7 | 729 |
| 47049-Allardt | Republican | R+91.0 | 715 |
| 47049-Community Center | Republican | R+90.8 | 677 |
| 47137-High School 2-1 | Republican | R+84.9 | 656 |
All 45 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State House District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State House District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State House District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State House District 38?
Kelly Keisling (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State House District 38?
R+88.8 — 0 Democratic, 24,785 Republican, of 27,915 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.