electionsmcp › races › Oregon State House District 16
Oregon State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.
Model Oregon State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Sarah McDonald Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+72.3
2024 votes cast
34,441
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
12 precincts reported in Oregon State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41003-Precinct 16 | Democratic | D+69.5 | 5,403 |
| 41003-Precinct 08 | Democratic | D+78.8 | 4,623 |
| 41003-Precinct 01 | Democratic | D+75.0 | 4,310 |
| 41003-Precinct 07 | Democratic | D+78.0 | 3,583 |
| 41003-Precinct 03 | Democratic | D+72.2 | 3,313 |
| 41003-Precinct 09 | Democratic | D+70.5 | 3,256 |
| 41003-Precinct 06 | Democratic | D+71.3 | 3,063 |
| 41003-Precinct 05 | Democratic | D+71.4 | 1,964 |
| 41003-Precinct 02 | Democratic | D+64.6 | 1,635 |
| 41003-Precinct 18 | Democratic | D+58.7 | 1,507 |
| 41003-Precinct 04 | Democratic | D+71.5 | 996 |
| 41003-Precinct 12 | Democratic | D+69.3 | 788 |
All 12 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Oregon State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Oregon State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Oregon State House District 16?
Sarah McDonald (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oregon State House District 16?
D+72.3 — 24,894 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 34,441 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.