electionsmcp › races › Oregon State House District 12
Oregon State House District 12
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.
Model Oregon State House District 12 →
Current officeholder
Darin Harbick Republican
2024 result
Republican R+14.6
2024 votes cast
42,736
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
18 precincts reported in Oregon State House District 12's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41039-Precinct 4300 | Republican | R+12.2 | 5,258 |
| 41039-Precinct 747 | Republican | R+27.1 | 5,030 |
| 41039-Precinct 751 | Republican | R+24.2 | 4,546 |
| 41039-Precinct 4700 | Republican | R+25.7 | 3,900 |
| 41039-Precinct 1234 | Democratic | D+62.6 | 3,344 |
| 41039-Precinct 755 | Republican | R+27.4 | 3,138 |
| 41039-Precinct 4400 | Republican | R+23.1 | 3,049 |
| 41039-Precinct 759 | Republican | R+14.5 | 2,675 |
| 41039-Precinct 757 | Republican | R+20.3 | 2,656 |
| 41039-Precinct 765 | Republican | R+19.2 | 2,508 |
| 41039-Precinct 715 | Republican | R+32.4 | 1,749 |
| 41039-Precinct 4800 | Republican | R+12.6 | 1,551 |
| 41039-Precinct 753 | Republican | R+37.0 | 1,411 |
| 41039-Precinct 4200 | Republican | R+3.6 | 960 |
| 41039-Precinct 743 | Democratic | D+3.1 | 614 |
| 41039-Precinct 1784 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 161 |
| 41039-Precinct 1560 | Democratic | D+23.5 | 136 |
| 41043-Precinct 024 | Republican | R+46.0 | 50 |
All 18 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Oregon State House District 12 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon State House District 12 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Oregon State House District 12 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Oregon State House District 12?
Darin Harbick (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oregon State House District 12?
R+14.6 — 17,012 Democratic, 23,256 Republican, of 42,736 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.