electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Oregon's 4th Congressional District

Oregon's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.

Model Oregon's 4th Congressional District →

Oregon's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Oregon's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+7.5 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Val T. Hoyle Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+7.5

2024 votes cast

393,312

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 707,398 people, median age 42.2, median household income $66,715.

Population

707,398

Median age

42.2

Median household income

$66,715

Bachelor's degree or higher

32.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 80% · Black 0.9% · Hispanic 9.2% · Asian 2.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

187 precincts reported in Oregon's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
41039-Precinct 1670 Democratic D+10.7 6,554
41039-Precinct 1564 Democratic D+37.7 6,550
41039-Precinct 733 Democratic D+31.6 6,151
41003-Precinct 11 Democratic D+0.6 6,068
41039-Precinct 2676 Republican R+10.9 6,065
41039-Precinct 4600 Democratic D+9.9 6,016
41039-Precinct 1562 Democratic D+21.5 5,979
41039-Precinct 1450 Democratic D+29.7 5,914
41039-Precinct 1232 Democratic D+66.8 5,722
41039-Precinct 2562 Democratic D+0.9 5,494
41003-Precinct 16 Democratic D+28.1 5,443
41039-Precinct 1230 Democratic D+71.9 5,422
41039-Precinct 1340 Democratic D+70.3 5,322
41039-Precinct 4300 Republican R+9.3 5,263
41039-Precinct 2340 Democratic D+13.4 5,238
41039-Precinct 1892 Democratic D+45.5 5,118
41039-Precinct 747 Republican R+23.4 5,046
41039-Precinct 731 Democratic D+17.9 4,969
41039-Precinct 1672 Democratic D+17.2 4,837
41019-Precinct 17 Republican R+38.2 4,786

All 187 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Oregon's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Oregon's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Oregon's 4th Congressional District?
Val T. Hoyle (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oregon's 4th Congressional District?
D+7.5 — 195,862 Democratic, 166,430 Republican, of 393,312 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in Oregon

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →