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Oregon's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.
Model Oregon's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Val T. Hoyle Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+7.5
2024 votes cast
393,312
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Val T. Hoyle's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
3.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 707,398 people, median age 42.2, median household income $66,715.
Population
707,398
Median age
42.2
Median household income
$66,715
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 80% · Black 0.9% · Hispanic 9.2% · Asian 2.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
187 precincts reported in Oregon's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41039-Precinct 1670 | Democratic | D+10.7 | 6,554 |
| 41039-Precinct 1564 | Democratic | D+37.7 | 6,550 |
| 41039-Precinct 733 | Democratic | D+31.6 | 6,151 |
| 41003-Precinct 11 | Democratic | D+0.6 | 6,068 |
| 41039-Precinct 2676 | Republican | R+10.9 | 6,065 |
| 41039-Precinct 4600 | Democratic | D+9.9 | 6,016 |
| 41039-Precinct 1562 | Democratic | D+21.5 | 5,979 |
| 41039-Precinct 1450 | Democratic | D+29.7 | 5,914 |
| 41039-Precinct 1232 | Democratic | D+66.8 | 5,722 |
| 41039-Precinct 2562 | Democratic | D+0.9 | 5,494 |
| 41003-Precinct 16 | Democratic | D+28.1 | 5,443 |
| 41039-Precinct 1230 | Democratic | D+71.9 | 5,422 |
| 41039-Precinct 1340 | Democratic | D+70.3 | 5,322 |
| 41039-Precinct 4300 | Republican | R+9.3 | 5,263 |
| 41039-Precinct 2340 | Democratic | D+13.4 | 5,238 |
| 41039-Precinct 1892 | Democratic | D+45.5 | 5,118 |
| 41039-Precinct 747 | Republican | R+23.4 | 5,046 |
| 41039-Precinct 731 | Democratic | D+17.9 | 4,969 |
| 41039-Precinct 1672 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 4,837 |
| 41019-Precinct 17 | Republican | R+38.2 | 4,786 |
All 187 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Oregon's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Oregon's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →