electionsmcp › races › Missouri State Senate District 21
Missouri State Senate District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State Senate District 21 →
Current officeholder
Kurtis Gregory Republican
2024 result
Republican R+38.6
2024 votes cast
92,967
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
88 precincts reported in Missouri State Senate District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29177-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+36.3 | 3,415 |
| 29107-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+35.6 | 3,411 |
| 29047-(77) PL 01 | Republican | R+34.6 | 3,327 |
| 29047-(75) LIB 13 | Republican | R+10.3 | 2,235 |
| 29047-(78) PL 02 | Republican | R+41.6 | 2,235 |
| 29047-(63) KRY 05 | Republican | R+43.5 | 2,176 |
| 29047-(61) KRY 03 | Republican | R+42.9 | 2,149 |
| 29107-S. ODESSA/ LAKE LAFAYETTE | Republican | R+53.6 | 2,134 |
| 29107-HIGGINSVILLE | Republican | R+49.7 | 2,129 |
| 29177-RICHMOND | Republican | R+50.1 | 2,100 |
| 29047-(62) KRY 04 | Republican | R+41.4 | 2,097 |
| 29195-ABSENTEE | Republican | R+31.1 | 2,060 |
| 29047-(69) LIB 06 | Republican | R+7.8 | 1,916 |
| 29177-LAWSON | Republican | R+53.7 | 1,896 |
| 29047-(56) FR 02 | Republican | R+33.0 | 1,881 |
| 29107-NORTH ODESSA/EAST ODESSA | Republican | R+57.7 | 1,831 |
| 29047-(55) FR 01 | Republican | R+27.7 | 1,705 |
| 29047-(79) PL 03 | Republican | R+34.7 | 1,700 |
| 29107-BATES CITY/FERG SCHOOL | Republican | R+56.9 | 1,693 |
| 29047-(74) LIB 11 | Republican | R+4.6 | 1,675 |
All 88 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State Senate District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State Senate District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State Senate District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State Senate District 21?
Kurtis Gregory (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State Senate District 21?
R+38.6 — 28,521 Democratic, 64,446 Republican, of 92,967 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.