electionsmcp › races › Kentucky State Senate District 30
Kentucky State Senate District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky State Senate District 30 →
Current officeholder
Brandon Smith Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
152 precincts reported in Kentucky State Senate District 30's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21153-ABSE | Republican | R+5.4 | 649 |
| 21175-C101 | Republican | R+36.8 | 589 |
| 21065-B105 | Republican | R+48.2 | 556 |
| 21065-C106 | Republican | R+58.1 | 544 |
| 21065-C103 | Republican | R+57.9 | 504 |
| 21153-A104 | Republican | R+40.5 | 467 |
| 21175-D102 | Republican | R+20.5 | 448 |
| 21153-B101 | Republican | R+31.9 | 429 |
| 21197-E101 | Republican | R+41.1 | 428 |
| 21193-A114 | Republican | R+59.2 | 422 |
| 21197-A102 | Republican | R+52.4 | 391 |
| 21065-B102 | Republican | R+70.0 | 387 |
| 21197-B102 | Republican | R+44.2 | 380 |
| 21197-D101 | Republican | R+31.1 | 380 |
| 21175-B101 | Republican | R+38.3 | 379 |
| 21065-C104 | Republican | R+65.7 | 373 |
| 21197-E102 | Republican | R+37.8 | 357 |
| 21065-A106 | Republican | R+54.5 | 356 |
| 21153-A102 | Republican | R+36.0 | 356 |
| 21153-B102 | Republican | R+54.4 | 355 |
All 152 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky State Senate District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky State Senate District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky State Senate District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Kentucky State Senate District 30?
Brandon Smith (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky State Senate District 30?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.