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Kentucky's 5th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.

Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District →

Kentucky's 5th Congressional District — highlighted within Kentucky's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+100.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Harold Rogers Republican

2024 result

Republican R+100.0

2024 votes cast

147,834

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Harold Rogers's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#148 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage62.7%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 745,869 people, median age 41.3, median household income $44,884.

Population

745,869

Median age

41.3

Median household income

$44,884

Bachelor's degree or higher

15.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 94.1% · Black 1.4% · Hispanic 1.5% · Asian 0.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

730 precincts reported in Kentucky's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
21199-E101 Republican R+100.0 3,402
21199-D101 Republican R+100.0 2,933
21125-F101 Republican R+100.0 2,387
21199-A101 Republican R+100.0 2,334
21199-D102 Republican R+100.0 2,219
21199-C101 Republican R+100.0 2,142
21199-C103 Republican R+100.0 2,109
21199-A102 Republican R+100.0 1,941
21199-B104 Republican R+100.0 1,729
21199-B101 Republican R+100.0 1,648
21125-A104 Republican R+100.0 1,645
21125-B103 Republican R+100.0 1,634
21125-E104 Republican R+100.0 1,604
21125-B101 Republican R+100.0 1,447
21199-C102 Republican R+100.0 1,421
21199-A106 Republican R+100.0 1,395
21125-D102 Republican R+100.0 1,330
21125-A102 Republican R+100.0 1,306
21125-F102 Republican R+100.0 1,290
21109-B102 Republican R+100.0 1,259

All 730 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Kentucky's 5th Congressional District?
Harold Rogers (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky's 5th Congressional District?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 147,834 Republican, of 147,834 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Kentucky's 5th Congressional District?
Kentucky's 5th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.8 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 148 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 62.7%.

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