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Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Harold Rogers Republican
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
147,834
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Harold Rogers's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 745,869 people, median age 41.3, median household income $44,884.
Population
745,869
Median age
41.3
Median household income
$44,884
Bachelor's degree or higher
15.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 94.1% · Black 1.4% · Hispanic 1.5% · Asian 0.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
730 precincts reported in Kentucky's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21199-E101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,402 |
| 21199-D101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,933 |
| 21125-F101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,387 |
| 21199-A101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,334 |
| 21199-D102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,219 |
| 21199-C101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,142 |
| 21199-C103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,109 |
| 21199-A102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,941 |
| 21199-B104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,729 |
| 21199-B101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,648 |
| 21125-A104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,645 |
| 21125-B103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,634 |
| 21125-E104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,604 |
| 21125-B101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,447 |
| 21199-C102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,421 |
| 21199-A106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,395 |
| 21125-D102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,330 |
| 21125-A102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,306 |
| 21125-F102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,290 |
| 21109-B102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,259 |
All 730 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →