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Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Morgan McGarvey Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+23.9
2024 votes cast
327,864
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 742,760 people, median age 38.1, median household income $66,104.
Population
742,760
Median age
38.1
Median household income
$66,104
Bachelor's degree or higher
35.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 62.6% · Black 22.7% · Hispanic 7.9% · Asian 2.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
584 precincts reported in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21111-S160 | Republican | R+4.8 | 2,404 |
| 21111-B159 | Republican | R+2.5 | 2,188 |
| 21111-B134 | Democratic | D+3.1 | 1,855 |
| 21111-B191 | Republican | R+11.1 | 1,760 |
| 21111-B172 | Democratic | D+5.9 | 1,734 |
| 21111-S153 | Democratic | D+5.8 | 1,718 |
| 21111-S173 | Democratic | D+13.5 | 1,699 |
| 21111-B183 | Republican | R+1.7 | 1,496 |
| 21111-V120 MID | Democratic | D+11.0 | 1,458 |
| 21111-F167 | Democratic | D+16.3 | 1,388 |
| 21111-V126 | Republican | R+1.5 | 1,372 |
| 21111-Q145 | Democratic | D+6.6 | 1,295 |
| 21111-Q125 | Democratic | D+6.5 | 1,270 |
| 21111-V137 | Democratic | D+9.8 | 1,240 |
| 21111-Q168 | Democratic | D+25.1 | 1,229 |
| 21111-S125 | Democratic | D+5.8 | 1,229 |
| 21111-Q103 | Democratic | D+16.9 | 1,204 |
| 21111-I169 | Democratic | D+14.4 | 1,191 |
| 21111-I153 | Democratic | D+2.4 | 1,190 |
| 21111-G145 | Democratic | D+52.7 | 1,185 |
All 584 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →