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Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Brett Guthrie Republican
2024 result
Republican R+47.4
2024 votes cast
324,813
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 759,614 people, median age 39, median household income $64,922.
Population
759,614
Median age
39
Median household income
$64,922
Bachelor's degree or higher
23.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 84.6% · Black 5.3% · Hispanic 4.5% · Asian 1.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
423 precincts reported in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21227-C107 | Republican | R+42.1 | 2,902 |
| 21227-A102 | Republican | R+26.8 | 2,895 |
| 21227-F107 | Republican | R+48.7 | 2,649 |
| 21227-F109 | Republican | R+58.0 | 2,627 |
| 21227-E105 | Republican | R+60.9 | 2,481 |
| 21227-F105 | Republican | R+48.4 | 2,424 |
| 21111-V104 | Republican | R+15.5 | 2,125 |
| 21099-D400 | Republican | R+70.2 | 1,970 |
| 21111-V129 | Republican | R+31.7 | 1,964 |
| 21227-A103 | Republican | R+33.0 | 1,865 |
| 21111-V105 | Republican | R+47.4 | 1,864 |
| 21111-V108 | Republican | R+37.8 | 1,856 |
| 21227-D108 | Republican | R+44.3 | 1,855 |
| 21227-C106 | Republican | R+21.5 | 1,819 |
| 21059-A114 | Republican | R+19.4 | 1,807 |
| 21227-E106 | Republican | R+45.5 | 1,794 |
| 21009-B101 | Republican | R+62.7 | 1,766 |
| 21099-C300 | Republican | R+64.5 | 1,752 |
| 21093-D005 | Republican | R+22.8 | 1,725 |
| 21029-B108 | Republican | R+55.0 | 1,723 |
All 423 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →