electionsmcp › races › Kentucky State Senate District 15
Kentucky State Senate District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky State Senate District 15 →
Current officeholder
Rick Girdler Republican
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
43,446
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
77 precincts reported in Kentucky State Senate District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21199-E101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,287 |
| 21199-D101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,883 |
| 21199-A101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,268 |
| 21199-D102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,179 |
| 21199-C101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,104 |
| 21199-C103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,092 |
| 21199-A102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,923 |
| 21199-B104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,719 |
| 21199-B101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,618 |
| 21199-C102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,427 |
| 21199-A106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,375 |
| 21199-E102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,018 |
| 21199-B105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 763 |
| 21231-G101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 688 |
| 21207-B103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 666 |
| 21207-C101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 658 |
| 21207-E101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 627 |
| 21199-B102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 625 |
| 21207-A103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 606 |
| 21207-D101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 530 |
All 77 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky State Senate District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky State Senate District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Kentucky State Senate District 15?
Rick Girdler (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky State Senate District 15?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 43,446 Republican, of 43,446 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.