electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State House District 86
Tennessee State House District 86
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State House District 86 →
Current officeholder
Justin J. Pearson Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+77.9
2024 votes cast
20,048
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
19 precincts reported in Tennessee State House District 86's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47157-08-03 | Democratic | D+73.8 | 2,088 |
| 47157-01-01 | Independent | D+37.0 | 2,034 |
| 47157-08-05 | Democratic | D+82.2 | 2,003 |
| 47157-09-06 | Democratic | D+95.3 | 1,977 |
| 47157-01-05 | Democratic | D+55.6 | 1,905 |
| 47157-09-03 | Democratic | D+96.0 | 1,900 |
| 47157-09-09 | Democratic | D+94.8 | 1,771 |
| 47157-08-08 | Democratic | D+80.8 | 1,483 |
| 47157-01-04 | Democratic | D+64.1 | 1,026 |
| 47157-09-02 | Democratic | D+95.7 | 880 |
| 47157-08-01 | Democratic | D+90.8 | 622 |
| 47157-08-02 | Democratic | D+83.6 | 610 |
| 47157-09-01 | Democratic | D+95.2 | 539 |
| 47157-01-02 | Democratic | D+57.6 | 512 |
| 47157-08-12 | Democratic | D+94.6 | 353 |
| 47157-07-02 | Democratic | D+96.4 | 196 |
| 47157-07-01 | Democratic | D+79.0 | 81 |
| 47157-08-09 | Democratic | D+98.2 | 54 |
| 47157-01-03 | Independent | D+35.7 | 14 |
All 19 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State House District 86 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State House District 86 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State House District 86 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State House District 86?
Justin J. Pearson (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State House District 86?
D+77.9 — 15,612 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 20,048 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.