electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State House District 51
Tennessee State House District 51
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State House District 51 →
Current officeholder
Aftyn Behn Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+73.9
2024 votes cast
33,017
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
32 precincts reported in Tennessee State House District 51's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47037-15-1 | Democratic | D+63.8 | 2,740 |
| 47037-19-2 | Democratic | D+69.1 | 2,576 |
| 47037-07-4 | Democratic | D+79.4 | 2,297 |
| 47037-19-5 | Democratic | D+55.7 | 2,202 |
| 47037-07-5 | Democratic | D+81.4 | 2,101 |
| 47037-06-4 | Democratic | D+82.1 | 2,091 |
| 47037-19-4 | Democratic | D+60.4 | 2,086 |
| 47037-07-7 | Democratic | D+81.0 | 1,875 |
| 47037-06-3 | Democratic | D+87.2 | 1,753 |
| 47037-09-3 | Democratic | D+71.0 | 1,657 |
| 47037-15-3 | Democratic | D+66.8 | 1,442 |
| 47037-06-6 | Democratic | D+85.9 | 1,316 |
| 47037-06-8 | Democratic | D+85.3 | 1,235 |
| 47037-09-1 | Democratic | D+80.1 | 1,059 |
| 47037-06-5 | Democratic | D+83.7 | 1,031 |
| 47037-07-6 | Democratic | D+81.1 | 926 |
| 47037-03-4 | Democratic | D+72.4 | 865 |
| 47037-07-3 | Democratic | D+76.1 | 841 |
| 47037-15-4 | Democratic | D+65.6 | 735 |
| 47037-05-7 | Democratic | D+85.0 | 440 |
All 32 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State House District 51 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State House District 51 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State House District 51 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State House District 51?
Aftyn Behn (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State House District 51?
D+73.9 — 24,391 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 33,017 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.