electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State House District 15
Tennessee State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Sam McKenzie Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+35.9
2024 votes cast
18,071
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
18 precincts reported in Tennessee State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47093-26 Dogwood | Democratic | D+26.4 | 2,826 |
| 47093-25 South Knox CC | Democratic | D+17.8 | 1,995 |
| 47093-06 Green School | Democratic | D+33.5 | 1,429 |
| 47093-13 Fair Garden | Democratic | D+61.1 | 1,402 |
| 47093-27 South Knox | Republican | R+1.5 | 1,340 |
| 47093-31 Chilhowee | Democratic | D+25.8 | 1,243 |
| 47093-12 YWCA | Democratic | D+77.8 | 1,029 |
| 47093-30 Sarah Moore Greene | Democratic | D+54.3 | 962 |
| 47093-19 Thrive Lonsdale | Democratic | D+38.9 | 942 |
| 47093-16E Larry Cox Sr Center | Democratic | D+28.3 | 851 |
| 47093-32 Spring Hill | Democratic | D+8.4 | 710 |
| 47093-10N Fort Sanders | Democratic | D+26.4 | 611 |
| 47093-15W John T. O'Connor | Democratic | D+63.8 | 608 |
| 47093-20 Beaumont | Democratic | D+43.0 | 583 |
| 47093-15E John T. O'Connor | Democratic | D+66.8 | 573 |
| 47093-14 Austin-East | Democratic | D+83.4 | 483 |
| 47093-10S Howard Baker Center | Democratic | D+21.0 | 286 |
| 47093-09 Eternal Life Harvest | Democratic | D+59.6 | 198 |
All 18 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State House District 15?
Sam McKenzie (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State House District 15?
D+35.9 — 12,281 Democratic, 5,790 Republican, of 18,071 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.