electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 53
Montana State House District 53
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 53 →
Current officeholder
Nelly Nicol Republican
2024 result
Republican R+51.8
2024 votes cast
6,374
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
5 precincts reported in Montana State House District 53's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30111-52 | Republican | R+51.1 | 1,543 |
| 30111-51 | Republican | R+38.4 | 1,412 |
| 30111-53 | Republican | R+59.6 | 1,223 |
| 30111-55 | Republican | R+58.5 | 1,138 |
| 30111-54 | Republican | R+54.4 | 1,058 |
All 5 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 53 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 53 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 53 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 53?
Nelly Nicol (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 53?
R+51.8 — 1,536 Democratic, 4,838 Republican, of 6,374 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.