electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 45
Montana State House District 45
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 45 →
Current officeholder
Denise Baum Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+5.9
2024 votes cast
4,917
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
3 precincts reported in Montana State House District 45's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30111-26 | Republican | R+1.9 | 1,842 |
| 30111-25 | Democratic | D+8.2 | 1,691 |
| 30111-24 | Democratic | D+13.3 | 1,384 |
All 3 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 45 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 45 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 45 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 45?
Denise Baum (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 45?
D+5.9 — 2,603 Democratic, 2,314 Republican, of 4,917 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.