electionsmcp › races › Montana State House District 31
Montana State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Frank Smith Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+19.8
2024 votes cast
3,643
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
10 precincts reported in Montana State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30085-18 POPLAR | Democratic | D+50.6 | 713 |
| 30105-PCT 31 | Republican | R+29.3 | 670 |
| 30085-26 WOLF POINT NORTHSIDE | Republican | R+8.6 | 545 |
| 30085-27 WEST WOLF POINT RURAL | Democratic | D+38.3 | 360 |
| 30085-24 WOLF POINT SOUTHSIDE | Democratic | D+30.0 | 337 |
| 30085-16 EAST POPLAR RURAL | Democratic | D+53.6 | 315 |
| 30085-22 EAST & NE WOLF POINT RURAL | Democratic | D+3.9 | 208 |
| 30085-15 BROCKTON | Democratic | D+74.2 | 186 |
| 30005-SOUTH BELKNAP 15 | Democratic | D+78.2 | 156 |
| 30071-PCT 11 S2 | Republican | R+47.7 | 153 |
All 10 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State House District 31?
Frank Smith (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State House District 31?
D+19.8 — 2,182 Democratic, 1,461 Republican, of 3,643 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.