electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 154
Missouri State House District 154
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 154 →
Current officeholder
Lisa Durnell Republican
2024 result
Republican R+69.6
2024 votes cast
17,924
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
21 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 154's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29091-2_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+65.7 | 4,901 |
| 29091-55_HOWELL 5 | Republican | R+74.7 | 1,666 |
| 29091-51_HOWELL 1 | Republican | R+60.5 | 1,195 |
| 29091-41_GOLDSBERRY | Republican | R+70.3 | 1,097 |
| 29091-121_WILLOW SPRINGS 1 | Republican | R+71.3 | 1,012 |
| 29091-122_WILLOW SPRINGS 2 | Republican | R+77.9 | 923 |
| 29091-52_HOWELL 2 | Republican | R+61.6 | 828 |
| 29091-56_HOWELL 6 | Republican | R+72.8 | 721 |
| 29091-111_SPRING CREEK | Republican | R+81.0 | 693 |
| 29091-31_DRY CREEK | Republican | R+80.3 | 640 |
| 29091-54_HOWELL 4 | Republican | R+50.3 | 608 |
| 29091-53_HOWELL 3 | Republican | R+48.0 | 565 |
| 29091-12_BENTON 2 | Republican | R+76.2 | 564 |
| 29091-91_SISSON | Republican | R+79.3 | 493 |
| 29091-61_HUTTON VALLEY | Republican | R+77.1 | 480 |
| 29091-101_SOUTH FORK | Republican | R+71.6 | 359 |
| 29091-1_HOWELL 7 & MYATT 2 | Republican | R+66.1 | 301 |
| 29091-11_BENTON 1 | Republican | R+92.3 | 258 |
| 29091-21_CHAPEL | Republican | R+80.2 | 252 |
| 29091-71_MYATT 1 | Republican | R+78.9 | 199 |
All 21 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 154 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 154 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 154 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 154?
Lisa Durnell (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 154?
R+69.6 — 2,728 Democratic, 15,196 Republican, of 17,924 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.