electionsmcp › races › Missouri State House District 115
Missouri State House District 115
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Missouri actually voted.
Model Missouri State House District 115 →
Current officeholder
Bill Lucas Republican
2024 result
Republican R+47.8
2024 votes cast
18,589
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
15 precincts reported in Missouri State House District 115's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29099-153_ABSENTEE | Republican | R+36.6 | 5,884 |
| 29099-133_JEFFERSON HIGH SCHOOL | Republican | R+54.2 | 2,221 |
| 29099-150_DE SOTO ELKS LODGE | Republican | R+43.5 | 1,893 |
| 29099-146_ATHENA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | Republican | R+52.7 | 1,530 |
| 29099-148_SUNRISE SCHOOL | Republican | R+47.3 | 1,354 |
| 29099-102_ST. MARTIN'S UNITED CHURCH OF CHRIST | Republican | R+57.6 | 1,100 |
| 29099-151_REDEEMER LUTHERN CHURCH | Republican | R+53.5 | 963 |
| 29099-101_GRANDVIEW MIDDLE SCHOOL | Republican | R+54.6 | 921 |
| 29099-147_CIA HALL | Republican | R+61.1 | 684 |
| 29099-145_LIBERTY FELLOWSHIP CHURCH | Republican | R+58.4 | 634 |
| 29099-149_DE SOTO K.C. HALL | Republican | R+55.7 | 592 |
| 29099-112_HILLSBORO CHRISTIAN CHURCH | Republican | R+61.4 | 564 |
| 29099-144_HEMATITE CHRISTIAN CHURCH | Republican | R+56.6 | 166 |
| 29099-132_FAITH BAPTIST CHURCH | Republican | R+53.1 | 81 |
| 29099-152_CENTRAL POLL | Republican | R+100.0 | 2 |
All 15 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Missouri State House District 115 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Missouri State House District 115 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Missouri State House District 115 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Missouri State House District 115?
Bill Lucas (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Missouri State House District 115?
R+47.8 — 4,853 Democratic, 13,736 Republican, of 18,589 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.