electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 84
Arkansas State House District 84
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 84 →
Current officeholder
Les Warren Republican
2024 result
Republican R+35.6
2024 votes cast
10,848
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
18 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 84's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05051-054 | Republican | R+49.5 | 1,343 |
| 05051-062 04 | Republican | R+47.5 | 1,338 |
| 05051-011 | Democratic | D+6.6 | 1,321 |
| 05051-061 | Republican | R+47.0 | 1,170 |
| 05051-132 | Republican | R+19.0 | 1,081 |
| 05051-063 05 | Republican | R+51.1 | 998 |
| 05051-021 | Democratic | D+9.6 | 750 |
| 05051-022 | Republican | R+51.2 | 631 |
| 05051-012 | Republican | R+62.2 | 571 |
| 05051-134 | Republican | R+61.9 | 504 |
| 05051-013 | Republican | R+51.5 | 338 |
| 05051-014 16 | Republican | R+63.1 | 320 |
| 05051-023 | Republican | R+50.9 | 175 |
| 05051-024 08 | Democratic | D+19.6 | 112 |
| 05051-131 | Democratic | D+13.0 | 108 |
| 05051-064 06 | Republican | R+22.7 | 44 |
| 05051-074 | Republican | R+52.6 | 38 |
| 05051-052 06 | Republican | R+66.7 | 6 |
All 18 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 84 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 84 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 84 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 84?
Les Warren (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 84?
R+35.6 — 3,494 Democratic, 7,354 Republican, of 10,848 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.