electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 83
Arkansas State House District 83
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 83 →
Current officeholder
Paul Childress Republican
2024 result
Republican R+50.2
2024 votes cast
18,036
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
15 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 83's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05125-27.0 | Republican | R+40.6 | 2,391 |
| 05125-2.0 | Republican | R+51.8 | 2,037 |
| 05125-35.0 | Republican | R+40.8 | 1,901 |
| 05125-5.0 | Republican | R+48.8 | 1,604 |
| 05125-42.0 | Republican | R+62.2 | 1,517 |
| 05125-24.0 | Republican | R+44.3 | 1,432 |
| 05125-20.0 | Republican | R+55.6 | 1,346 |
| 05125-40.0 | Republican | R+30.1 | 1,199 |
| 05125-32.0 | Republican | R+59.9 | 1,067 |
| 05125-10.0 | Republican | R+67.2 | 1,000 |
| 05125-12.0 | Republican | R+36.8 | 702 |
| 05125-19.0 | Republican | R+73.8 | 512 |
| 05125-29.0 | Republican | R+70.5 | 481 |
| 05125-7.0 | Republican | R+45.2 | 456 |
| 05125-8.0 | Republican | R+74.9 | 391 |
All 15 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 83 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 83 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 83 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 83?
Paul Childress (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 83?
R+50.2 — 4,491 Democratic, 13,545 Republican, of 18,036 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.