electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State Senate District 21
Arkansas State Senate District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State Senate District 21 →
Current officeholder
Blake Johnson Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
66 precincts reported in Arkansas State Senate District 21's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05055-JP03--BULA | Republican | R+82.8 | 1,340 |
| 05055-JP11--CROWLEY'S RIDGE | Republican | R+87.6 | 1,291 |
| 05055-JP05--BULA | Republican | R+82.9 | 1,193 |
| 05055-JP04--BULA | Republican | R+85.4 | 1,190 |
| 05055-JP09--CAMPGROUND | Republican | R+86.7 | 1,146 |
| 05055-JP10--DALTON | Republican | R+85.6 | 1,138 |
| 05055-JP07--RUSH ISLAND | Republican | R+85.7 | 1,015 |
| 05055-JP06--BULA | Republican | R+76.8 | 945 |
| 05055-JP08--BAGWELL LAKE | Republican | R+84.8 | 874 |
| 05021-NORTH ST. FRANCIS | Republican | R+85.5 | 752 |
| 05121-WARD THREE | Republican | R+78.1 | 677 |
| 05055-JP02--BULA | Republican | R+72.1 | 655 |
| 05121-DEMUN RURAL | Republican | R+84.7 | 613 |
| 05021-NORTH KILGORE & CLEVELAND | Republican | R+89.5 | 551 |
| 05055-JP01--BULA | Republican | R+78.3 | 531 |
| 05121-WARD ONE | Republican | R+78.2 | 486 |
| 05021-SOUTH KILGORE & GLEGHORN | Republican | R+87.2 | 470 |
| 05021-SOUTH ST. FRANCIS | Republican | R+83.6 | 444 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 2 | Republican | R+85.6 | 430 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 1 | Republican | R+81.4 | 409 |
All 66 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State Senate District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State Senate District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State Senate District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State Senate District 21?
Blake Johnson (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State Senate District 21?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.