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Arkansas's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Bruce Westerman Republican
2024 result
Republican R+45.8
2024 votes cast
270,253
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Bruce Westerman's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
13.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 753,113 people, median age 40.6, median household income $51,058.
Population
753,113
Median age
40.6
Median household income
$51,058
Bachelor's degree or higher
18.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 67.9% · Black 19.7% · Hispanic 7.8% · Asian 0.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
863 precincts reported in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05051-092 | Republican | R+45.2 | 2,236 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 2B/JP10/W2 | Republican | R+38.6 | 1,883 |
| 05091-UNION | Republican | R+83.8 | 1,759 |
| 05051-094 | Republican | R+52.1 | 1,728 |
| 05091-SUGAR HILL | Republican | R+54.2 | 1,691 |
| 05051-133 | Republican | R+56.8 | 1,666 |
| 05115-DOVER OUT/JP5 | Republican | R+69.9 | 1,621 |
| 05139-WARD 2 CITY/SR97 | Republican | R+18.2 | 1,613 |
| 05139-WARD 1 SR97 | Republican | R+4.0 | 1,467 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 124 | Republican | R+18.2 | 1,437 |
| 05051-082 03 | Republican | R+60.2 | 1,406 |
| 05051-074 | Republican | R+58.5 | 1,401 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 1B/ | Republican | R+58.5 | 1,391 |
| 05091-FOUKE | Republican | R+88.9 | 1,382 |
| 05149-DARDANELLE OUTSIDE | Republican | R+67.8 | 1,381 |
| 05051-054 | Republican | R+45.1 | 1,337 |
| 05051-062 04 | Republican | R+44.6 | 1,333 |
| 05139-WARD 4 SR97 | Republican | R+6.3 | 1,312 |
| 05051-011 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,308 |
| 05027-COLUMBIA NORTH | Republican | R+69.6 | 1,304 |
All 863 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →