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Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
French Hill Republican
2024 result
Republican R+17.9
2024 votes cast
306,286
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for French Hill's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
11.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 755,024 people, median age 38.2, median household income $62,987.
Population
755,024
Median age
38.2
Median household income
$62,987
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 67.5% · Black 20.5% · Hispanic 6.1% · Asian 1.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
408 precincts reported in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05125-1.0 | Republican | R+59.7 | 3,034 |
| 05125-13.0 | Republican | R+24.2 | 2,537 |
| 05125-27.0 | Republican | R+37.8 | 2,387 |
| 05125-2.0 | Republican | R+50.0 | 2,318 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 33 | Republican | R+16.5 | 2,185 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 4 | Republican | R+20.3 | 2,116 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 64 | Republican | R+16.4 | 2,116 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 68 | Democratic | D+3.7 | 2,074 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 96 | Democratic | D+57.5 | 2,055 |
| 05045-PCT 12 | Republican | R+41.5 | 2,023 |
| 05125-24.0 | Republican | R+39.8 | 1,997 |
| 05045-PCT 21 | Republican | R+62.4 | 1,992 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 32 | Republican | R+1.7 | 1,973 |
| 05125-6.0 | Republican | R+32.7 | 1,918 |
| 05125-35.0 | Republican | R+39.0 | 1,909 |
| 05045-PCT 39 | Republican | R+61.8 | 1,889 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 72 | Democratic | D+14.8 | 1,872 |
| 05119-PRECINCT 5 | Republican | R+15.7 | 1,871 |
| 05125-15.0 | Republican | R+32.9 | 1,854 |
| 05045-PCT 19 | Republican | R+58.6 | 1,850 |
All 408 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →