electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 81
Arkansas State House District 81
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 81 →
Current officeholder
RJ Hawk Republican
2024 result
Republican R+20.4
2024 votes cast
11,583
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
14 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 81's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05125-13.0 | Republican | R+24.3 | 2,189 |
| 05125-26.0 | Democratic | D+18.6 | 1,496 |
| 05125-4.0 | Republican | R+18.9 | 1,400 |
| 05125-22.0 | Republican | R+36.5 | 1,234 |
| 05125-6.0 | Republican | R+30.8 | 1,213 |
| 05125-36.0 | Republican | R+24.2 | 937 |
| 05125-33.0 | Republican | R+52.8 | 889 |
| 05125-38.0 | Republican | R+30.1 | 761 |
| 05125-34.0 | Democratic | D+19.9 | 729 |
| 05125-40.0 | Republican | R+30.0 | 360 |
| 05125-14.0 | Republican | R+22.9 | 218 |
| 05125-39.0 | Republican | R+53.5 | 99 |
| 05125-24.0 | Republican | R+60.0 | 55 |
| 05125-25.0 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 3 |
All 14 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 81 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 81 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 81 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 81?
RJ Hawk (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 81?
R+20.4 — 4,610 Democratic, 6,973 Republican, of 11,583 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.