electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 49
Arkansas State House District 49
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 49 →
Current officeholder
Jay Richardson Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+100.0
2024 votes cast
3,847
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
15 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 49's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05131-10F131.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 668 |
| 05131-9F226.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 668 |
| 05131-8F230.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 437 |
| 05131-10F124.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 410 |
| 05131-8F229.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 384 |
| 05131-8F228.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 283 |
| 05131-11F119.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 191 |
| 05131-10F222.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 186 |
| 05131-10F223.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 141 |
| 05131-10F124.2 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 122 |
| 05131-11F217.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 119 |
| 05131-11F119.2 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 92 |
| 05131-11F119.3 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 75 |
| 05131-12F114.1 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 66 |
| 05131-11F119.4 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 5 |
All 15 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 49 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 49 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 49 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 49?
Jay Richardson (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 49?
D+100.0 — 3,847 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 3,847 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.