electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 53
Arkansas State House District 53
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 53 →
Current officeholder
Matt Duffield Republican
2024 result
Republican R+46.8
2024 votes cast
9,215
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
18 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 53's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 2B/JP10/W2 | Republican | R+47.5 | 1,894 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 1B/ | Republican | R+60.5 | 1,402 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 3B/JP12/JP13/W3 | Republican | R+40.7 | 1,107 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 2A/ | Republican | R+52.3 | 1,040 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE OUT 4/ | Republican | R+65.0 | 1,023 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 3A/ | Republican | R+32.4 | 645 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4H/ | Republican | R+34.1 | 568 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 2C/ | Republican | R+35.7 | 342 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4C/JP8/W4 | Republican | R+32.9 | 304 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 1C/ | Republican | R+33.8 | 275 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 1A/JP8/W1 | Republican | R+3.2 | 188 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4F/ | Republican | R+29.1 | 127 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4D/ | Republican | R+18.5 | 108 |
| 05115-POTTSVILLE IN 2/JP2 | Republican | R+73.5 | 83 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE OUT 3/JP12 | Republican | R+70.6 | 68 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4G/JP13/W4 | Republican | R+50.0 | 20 |
| 05115-POTTSVILLE OUT 2/JP2/JP12 | Republican | R+22.2 | 18 |
| 05115-RUSSELLVILLE 4E/JP13/W4 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 3 |
All 18 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 53 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 53 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 53 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 53?
Matt Duffield (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 53?
R+46.8 — 2,452 Democratic, 6,763 Republican, of 9,215 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.