electionsmcp › races › New Mexico State Senate District 15
New Mexico State Senate District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Mexico actually voted.
Model New Mexico State Senate District 15 →
Current officeholder
Heather Berghmans Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
50 precincts reported in New Mexico State Senate District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35001-PCT 500 | Democratic | D+6.1 | 684 |
| 35001-PCT 432 | Democratic | D+42.2 | 623 |
| 35001-PCT 421 | Democratic | D+12.9 | 622 |
| 35001-PCT 488 | Democratic | D+18.5 | 621 |
| 35001-PCT 498 | Democratic | D+17.1 | 620 |
| 35001-PCT 408 | Democratic | D+11.7 | 591 |
| 35001-PCT 402 | Democratic | D+24.6 | 573 |
| 35001-PCT 511 | Republican | R+0.7 | 568 |
| 35001-PCT 490 | Republican | R+14.3 | 567 |
| 35001-PCT 435 | Democratic | D+23.5 | 554 |
| 35001-PCT 499 | Democratic | D+9.4 | 552 |
| 35001-PCT 497 | Democratic | D+20.4 | 540 |
| 35001-PCT 439 | Democratic | D+34.0 | 539 |
| 35001-PCT 404 | Democratic | D+24.3 | 531 |
| 35001-PCT 466 | Democratic | D+6.7 | 523 |
| 35001-PCT 347 | Democratic | D+30.6 | 496 |
| 35001-PCT 442 | Democratic | D+22.6 | 473 |
| 35001-PCT 405 | Democratic | D+23.9 | 447 |
| 35001-PCT 346 | Democratic | D+32.7 | 440 |
| 35001-PCT 401 | Democratic | D+34.7 | 435 |
All 50 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New Mexico State Senate District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Mexico State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New Mexico State Senate District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents New Mexico State Senate District 15?
Heather Berghmans (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Mexico State Senate District 15?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.