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New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Mexico actually voted.

Model New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District →

New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within New Mexico's U.S. House districts · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Gabe Vasquez Democratic

2024 result

being added

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Gabe Vasquez's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#81 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

9.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage94.9%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 704,881 people, median age 36.5, median household income $57,028.

Population

704,881

Median age

36.5

Median household income

$57,028

Bachelor's degree or higher

24%

Race & ethnicity: White 29.3% · Black 2.1% · Hispanic 60.2% · Asian 1.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

655 precincts reported in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
35001-PCT 057 Democratic D+32.0 1,095
35061-PRECINCT 42 Republican R+16.0 1,062
35015-PRECINCT 52 Republican R+58.6 1,028
35013-PRECINCT 125 Democratic D+5.1 980
35013-PRECINCT 162 Democratic D+19.6 925
35001-PCT 205 Democratic D+2.6 908
35013-PRECINCT 171 Democratic D+11.4 892
35013-PRECINCT 172 Democratic D+16.3 889
35061-PRECINCT 39 Democratic D+9.0 853
35051-PRECINCT 002 Republican R+38.4 834
35051-PRECINCT 012 Democratic D+3.6 832
35001-PCT 118 Democratic D+2.8 813
35013-PRECINCT 022 Democratic D+2.4 795
35013-PRECINCT 139 Democratic D+23.3 790
35061-PRECINCT 55 Republican R+5.4 772
35013-PRECINCT 105 Democratic D+4.3 763
35013-PRECINCT 130 Republican R+3.3 759
35001-PCT 092 Democratic D+6.5 755
35001-PCT 206 Democratic D+5.7 753
35035-PRECINCT 36 Republican R+14.0 751

All 655 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District?
Gabe Vasquez (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District?
New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 9.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 81 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 94.9%.

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