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New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Mexico actually voted.

Model New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District →

New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within New Mexico's U.S. House districts · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Teresa Leger Fernandez Democratic

2024 result

being added

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Teresa Leger Fernandez's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#68 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

9.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage94.7%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 700,644 people, median age 39.7, median household income $60,767.

Population

700,644

Median age

39.7

Median household income

$60,767

Bachelor's degree or higher

26.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 34.6% · Black 1.4% · Hispanic 42.8% · Asian 1.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

744 precincts reported in New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
35049-PRECINCT 056 Democratic D+56.4 964
35049-PRECINCT 151 Democratic D+48.6 852
35045-PRECINCT 057 Republican R+62.1 813
35055-PRECINCT 037 Democratic D+66.1 803
35047-PCT 023 Democratic D+40.5 790
35045-PRECINCT 061 Republican R+55.6 780
35009-PRECINCT 018 Republican R+47.1 771
35045-PRECINCT 067 Republican R+44.4 770
35049-PRECINCT 082 Democratic D+24.5 766
35045-PRECINCT 050 Republican R+27.3 765
35045-PRECINCT 038 Republican R+42.1 764
35049-PRECINCT 153 Democratic D+53.8 761
35015-PRECINCT 07 Republican R+71.3 760
35039-PREC 038 Democratic D+40.7 756
35045-PRECINCT 030 Republican R+48.5 753
35049-PRECINCT 147 Democratic D+55.0 743
35045-PRECINCT 103 Republican R+59.7 740
35009-PRECINCT 024 Republican R+43.4 738
35045-PRECINCT 039 Republican R+47.4 738
35045-PRECINCT 060 Republican R+61.5 732

All 744 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District?
Teresa Leger Fernandez (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District?
New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 9.8 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 68 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 94.7%.

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