electionsmcp › races › New Mexico State House District 31
New Mexico State House District 31
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Mexico actually voted.
Model New Mexico State House District 31 →
Current officeholder
Nicole Chavez Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
39 precincts reported in New Mexico State House District 31's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35001-PCT 469 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 738 |
| 35001-PCT 541 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 688 |
| 35001-PCT 594 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 650 |
| 35001-PCT 470 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 646 |
| 35001-PCT 457 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 635 |
| 35001-PCT 361 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 594 |
| 35001-PCT 422 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 592 |
| 35001-PCT 447 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 592 |
| 35001-PCT 560 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 579 |
| 35001-PCT 602 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 573 |
| 35001-PCT 501 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 572 |
| 35001-PCT 592 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 567 |
| 35001-PCT 588 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 564 |
| 35001-PCT 423 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 560 |
| 35001-PCT 586 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 554 |
| 35001-PCT 429 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 537 |
| 35001-PCT 608 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 529 |
| 35001-PCT 539 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 525 |
| 35001-PCT 590 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 480 |
| 35001-PCT 424 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 470 |
All 39 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New Mexico State House District 31 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Mexico State House District 31 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New Mexico State House District 31 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents New Mexico State House District 31?
Nicole Chavez (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Mexico State House District 31?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.