electionsmcp › races › Montana State Senate District 38
Montana State Senate District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State Senate District 38 →
Current officeholder
Edie McClafferty Democratic
2024 result
Republican R+45.0
2024 votes cast
13,875
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
30 precincts reported in Montana State Senate District 38's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30043-02-75 | Republican | R+53.4 | 1,417 |
| 30043-04-75 | Republican | R+39.0 | 1,167 |
| 30043-09-75 | Republican | R+32.3 | 1,105 |
| 30063-SEELEY LAKE 76 | Republican | R+38.3 | 1,076 |
| 30043-07-75 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,056 |
| 30043-10-75 | Republican | R+28.7 | 805 |
| 30043-06-75 | Republican | R+48.7 | 596 |
| 30039-PRECINCT #2 | Republican | R+39.5 | 575 |
| 30043-08-75 | Republican | R+30.6 | 559 |
| 30039-PRECINCT #10 | Republican | R+59.3 | 530 |
| 30039-PRECINCT #1 | Republican | R+37.5 | 528 |
| 30039-PRECINCT #9 | Republican | R+68.8 | 443 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #7.78 | Republican | R+49.8 | 398 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #4.78 | Republican | R+57.3 | 375 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #5.78 | Republican | R+41.2 | 371 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #6.78 | Republican | R+50.4 | 371 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #3.78 | Republican | R+73.5 | 362 |
| 30043-03-75 | Republican | R+59.5 | 336 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #8.80 | Republican | R+56.8 | 236 |
| 30077-PRECINCT #14.80 | Republican | R+61.8 | 204 |
All 30 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State Senate District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State Senate District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State Senate District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State Senate District 38?
Edie McClafferty (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State Senate District 38?
R+45.0 — 3,819 Democratic, 10,056 Republican, of 13,875 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.