electionsmcp › races › Montana State Senate District 34
Montana State Senate District 34
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State Senate District 34 →
Current officeholder
Shelley Vance Republican
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
6 precincts reported in Montana State Senate District 34's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30031-PCT 68A | Republican | R+30.6 | 2,261 |
| 30031-PCT 67B | Republican | R+23.3 | 2,129 |
| 30031-PCT 67C | Republican | R+25.9 | 1,912 |
| 30031-PCT 68C | Republican | R+50.7 | 1,407 |
| 30031-PCT 67A | Republican | R+13.5 | 1,339 |
| 30031-PCT 68B | Republican | R+22.0 | 1,151 |
All 6 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State Senate District 34 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State Senate District 34 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State Senate District 34 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State Senate District 34?
Shelley Vance (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State Senate District 34?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.