electionsmcp › races › Montana State Senate District 2
Montana State Senate District 2
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Montana actually voted.
Model Montana State Senate District 2 →
Current officeholder
Dave Fern Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+4.8
2024 votes cast
13,087
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
12 precincts reported in Montana State Senate District 2's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30029-PCT 09 | Republican | R+18.2 | 1,702 |
| 30029-PCT 03 | Democratic | D+26.4 | 1,416 |
| 30029-PCT 12 | Democratic | D+44.4 | 1,402 |
| 30029-PCT 08 | Republican | R+19.2 | 1,242 |
| 30029-PCT 06 | Democratic | D+31.4 | 1,233 |
| 30029-PCT 13 | Democratic | D+10.5 | 1,120 |
| 30029-PCT 10 | Republican | R+11.3 | 1,107 |
| 30029-PCT 07 | Republican | R+7.4 | 1,037 |
| 30029-PCT 04 | Democratic | D+10.8 | 848 |
| 30029-PCT 11 | Republican | R+38.7 | 806 |
| 30029-PCT 05 | Democratic | D+10.1 | 616 |
| 30029-PCT 02 | Democratic | D+7.2 | 558 |
All 12 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Montana State Senate District 2 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Montana State Senate District 2 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Montana State Senate District 2 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Montana State Senate District 2?
Dave Fern (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Montana State Senate District 2?
D+4.8 — 6,860 Democratic, 6,227 Republican, of 13,087 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.