electionsmcp › races › Hawaii State Senate District 21
Hawaii State Senate District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.
Model Hawaii State Senate District 21 →
Current officeholder
Mike Gabbard Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
9 precincts reported in Hawaii State Senate District 21's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15003-42-03 | Democratic | D+20.8 | 3,583 |
| 15003-43-04 | Democratic | D+6.6 | 2,055 |
| 15003-42-02 | Democratic | D+28.2 | 1,990 |
| 15003-43-01 | Democratic | D+16.7 | 1,978 |
| 15003-43-03 | Democratic | D+9.5 | 1,734 |
| 15003-43-02 | Democratic | D+20.4 | 1,312 |
| 15003-41-03 | Democratic | D+21.5 | 736 |
| 15003-44-01 | Democratic | D+22.9 | 467 |
| 15003-41-04 | Republican | R+42.9 | 7 |
All 9 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Hawaii State Senate District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii State Senate District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Hawaii State Senate District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Hawaii State Senate District 21?
Mike Gabbard (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Hawaii State Senate District 21?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.