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Hawaii's 1st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.
Model Hawaii's 1st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Ed Case Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+43.7
2024 votes cast
228,610
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Ed Case's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 722,336 people, median age 40.7, median household income $102,840.
Population
722,336
Median age
40.7
Median household income
$102,840
Bachelor's degree or higher
38.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 14.8% · Black 2.1% · Hispanic 8.2% · Asian 49.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
109 precincts reported in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15003-41-01 | Democratic | D+17.1 | 6,236 |
| 15003-27-03 | Democratic | D+57.9 | 6,013 |
| 15003-37-02 | Democratic | D+35.8 | 5,885 |
| 15003-33-02 | Democratic | D+54.4 | 5,466 |
| 15003-19-03 | Democratic | D+59.6 | 5,168 |
| 15003-42-03 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 4,676 |
| 15003-26-01 | Democratic | D+53.6 | 4,602 |
| 15003-22-04 | Democratic | D+68.7 | 4,526 |
| 15003-19-02 | Democratic | D+49.7 | 4,255 |
| 15003-34-03 | Democratic | D+44.4 | 4,233 |
| 15003-33-01 | Democratic | D+48.2 | 4,118 |
| 15003-22-05 | Democratic | D+57.8 | 3,999 |
| 15003-21-01 | Democratic | D+55.0 | 3,971 |
| 15003-38-03 | Democratic | D+41.3 | 3,868 |
| 15003-25-04 | Democratic | D+55.8 | 3,860 |
| 15003-25-01 | Democratic | D+52.2 | 3,841 |
| 15003-37-03 | Democratic | D+45.5 | 3,628 |
| 15003-31-03 | Democratic | D+44.2 | 3,528 |
| 15003-28-01 | Democratic | D+47.3 | 3,306 |
| 15003-37-01 | Democratic | D+42.5 | 3,258 |
All 109 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Hawaii's 1st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Hawaii's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →