electionsmcp › races › Hawaii State House District 16
Hawaii State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.
Model Hawaii State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Luke A. Evslin Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+38.9
2024 votes cast
9,327
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
10 precincts reported in Hawaii State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15007-16-01 | Democratic | D+41.7 | 2,670 |
| 15007-16-04 | Democratic | D+46.7 | 2,289 |
| 15007-16-03 | Democratic | D+55.2 | 1,811 |
| 15007-16-02 | Democratic | D+45.8 | 1,077 |
| 15007-16-01 VSC | Republican | R+18.2 | 428 |
| 15007-16-04 VSC | Republican | R+11.9 | 318 |
| 15007-16-05 | Democratic | D+42.9 | 280 |
| 15007-16-03 VSC | Republican | R+9.8 | 246 |
| 15007-16-02 VSC | Republican | R+10.9 | 175 |
| 15007-16-05 VSC | Republican | R+15.2 | 33 |
All 10 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Hawaii State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Hawaii State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Hawaii State House District 16?
Luke A. Evslin (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Hawaii State House District 16?
D+38.9 — 6,479 Democratic, 2,848 Republican, of 9,327 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.