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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.

Model Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District →

Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Hawaii's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+36.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Jill N. Tokuda Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+36.3

2024 votes cast

250,156

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 723,299 people, median age 40.4, median household income $93,555.

Population

723,299

Median age

40.4

Median household income

$93,555

Bachelor's degree or higher

31.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 27.4% · Black 1.8% · Hispanic 11.5% · Asian 24.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

126 precincts reported in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
15001-04-02 Democratic D+37.2 6,114
15001-05-01 Democratic D+35.8 6,010
15001-02-01 Democratic D+59.7 5,834
15003-46-06 Democratic D+22.7 5,709
15001-06-03 Democratic D+24.1 5,576
15003-50-03 Democratic D+41.2 5,327
15001-07-04 Democratic D+24.7 5,304
15001-03-05 Democratic D+38.9 4,916
15003-39-02 Democratic D+23.8 4,916
15001-02-03 Democratic D+58.0 4,758
15009-08-02 Democratic D+35.2 4,753
15009-13-02 Democratic D+45.0 4,508
15009-12-04 Democratic D+43.0 4,350
15001-01-01 Democratic D+49.0 3,926
15009-10-03 Democratic D+45.5 3,840
15007-14-04 Democratic D+22.3 3,702
15009-11-03 Democratic D+29.4 3,680
15001-01-03 Democratic D+57.5 3,675
15007-15-04 Democratic D+34.1 3,544
15009-12-03 Democratic D+46.3 3,519

All 126 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District?
Jill N. Tokuda (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District?
D+36.3 — 166,251 Democratic, 75,471 Republican, of 250,156 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in Hawaii

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