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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.
Model Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jill N. Tokuda Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+36.3
2024 votes cast
250,156
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jill N. Tokuda's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 723,299 people, median age 40.4, median household income $93,555.
Population
723,299
Median age
40.4
Median household income
$93,555
Bachelor's degree or higher
31.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 27.4% · Black 1.8% · Hispanic 11.5% · Asian 24.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
126 precincts reported in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15001-04-02 | Democratic | D+37.2 | 6,114 |
| 15001-05-01 | Democratic | D+35.8 | 6,010 |
| 15001-02-01 | Democratic | D+59.7 | 5,834 |
| 15003-46-06 | Democratic | D+22.7 | 5,709 |
| 15001-06-03 | Democratic | D+24.1 | 5,576 |
| 15003-50-03 | Democratic | D+41.2 | 5,327 |
| 15001-07-04 | Democratic | D+24.7 | 5,304 |
| 15001-03-05 | Democratic | D+38.9 | 4,916 |
| 15003-39-02 | Democratic | D+23.8 | 4,916 |
| 15001-02-03 | Democratic | D+58.0 | 4,758 |
| 15009-08-02 | Democratic | D+35.2 | 4,753 |
| 15009-13-02 | Democratic | D+45.0 | 4,508 |
| 15009-12-04 | Democratic | D+43.0 | 4,350 |
| 15001-01-01 | Democratic | D+49.0 | 3,926 |
| 15009-10-03 | Democratic | D+45.5 | 3,840 |
| 15007-14-04 | Democratic | D+22.3 | 3,702 |
| 15009-11-03 | Democratic | D+29.4 | 3,680 |
| 15001-01-03 | Democratic | D+57.5 | 3,675 |
| 15007-15-04 | Democratic | D+34.1 | 3,544 |
| 15009-12-03 | Democratic | D+46.3 | 3,519 |
All 126 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →