electionsmcp › races › Hawaii State Senate District 15
Hawaii State Senate District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Hawaii actually voted.
Model Hawaii State Senate District 15 →
Current officeholder
Glenn Wakai Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2022 general
11 precincts reported in Hawaii State Senate District 15's 2022 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15003-31-03 | Democratic | D+46.3 | 3,029 |
| 15003-31-02 | Democratic | D+40.1 | 2,555 |
| 15003-32-04 | Democratic | D+32.9 | 2,359 |
| 15003-30-01 | Democratic | D+33.4 | 1,657 |
| 15003-31-04 | Democratic | D+31.6 | 500 |
| 15003-34-01 | Democratic | D+29.7 | 481 |
| 15003-30-04 | Republican | R+9.7 | 370 |
| 15003-35-02 | Democratic | D+9.4 | 287 |
| 15003-31-01 | Democratic | D+10.3 | 223 |
| 15003-35-01 | Democratic | D+23.9 | 176 |
| 15003-28-04 | Democratic | D+55.6 | 9 |
All 11 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Hawaii State Senate District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Hawaii State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Hawaii State Senate District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Hawaii State Senate District 15?
Glenn Wakai (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Hawaii State Senate District 15?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.