electionsmcp › races › North Carolina State House District 15
North Carolina State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.
Model North Carolina State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Phil Shepard Republican
2024 result
Republican R+32.7
2024 votes cast
37,877
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
11 precincts reported in North Carolina State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37133-EN03 | Republican | R+4.9 | 7,286 |
| 37133-RL09 | Republican | R+50.0 | 4,551 |
| 37133-GB12 | Republican | R+39.3 | 4,056 |
| 37133-NE22B | Republican | R+22.6 | 3,999 |
| 37133-WN04 | Republican | R+30.1 | 3,596 |
| 37133-CR07 | Republican | R+44.1 | 3,520 |
| 37133-HM05 | Republican | R+22.6 | 3,241 |
| 37133-TL06 | Republican | R+38.8 | 2,755 |
| 37133-CL10 | Republican | R+56.7 | 2,353 |
| 37133-VR15 | Republican | R+51.8 | 1,653 |
| 37133-NM13 | Republican | R+71.5 | 867 |
All 11 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model North Carolina State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open North Carolina State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents North Carolina State House District 15?
Phil Shepard (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in North Carolina State House District 15?
R+32.7 — 11,799 Democratic, 24,184 Republican, of 37,877 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.