electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › North Carolina's 4th Congressional District

North Carolina's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.

Model North Carolina's 4th Congressional District →

North Carolina's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within North Carolina's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+45.7 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Valerie P. Foushee Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+45.7

2024 votes cast

428,780

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Valerie P. Foushee's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#139 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

7.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 752,243 people, median age 37.4, median household income $75,224.

Population

752,243

Median age

37.4

Median household income

$75,224

Bachelor's degree or higher

44.7%

Race & ethnicity: White 53.2% · Black 24.9% · Hispanic 13.4% · Asian 4.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

187 precincts reported in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
37183-EVJB Democratic D+21.2 32,106
37063-EV SOUTH Democratic D+67.2 18,629
37183-EVCS Democratic D+32.5 18,263
37063-EV NORTH Democratic D+39.4 17,955
37063-EV EAST Democratic D+45.6 16,953
37063-EV MAIN Democratic D+86.1 16,472
37135-EV OW Democratic D+32.9 15,900
37183-EVHS Democratic D+15.6 15,897
37063-EV ENO Democratic D+65.2 14,593
37063-EV DUKE Democratic D+76.6 13,626
37135-EV CHL Democratic D+71.8 12,394
37183-ABSEN Democratic D+43.8 11,741
37135-EV CL Democratic D+80.2 11,518
37135-EV SCH Democratic D+67.2 10,592
37063-EV BOE Democratic D+76.0 10,512
37063-EV CMCC Democratic D+42.3 10,164
37063-ABS Democratic D+68.3 10,096
37063-EV ZAKAT Democratic D+63.8 8,811
37135-EV COTC Democratic D+74.3 8,801
37135-EV ECC Democratic D+7.4 8,574

All 187 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model North Carolina's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open North Carolina's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents North Carolina's 4th Congressional District?
Valerie P. Foushee (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District?
D+45.7 — 308,064 Democratic, 112,084 Republican, of 428,780 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District?
North Carolina's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 7.1 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 139 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in North Carolina

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →