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North Carolina's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.
Model North Carolina's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Pat Harrigan Republican
2024 result
Republican R+19.3
2024 votes cast
406,695
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Pat Harrigan's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
5.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 757,806 people, median age 42.3, median household income $65,827.
Population
757,806
Median age
42.3
Median household income
$65,827
Bachelor's degree or higher
25%
Race & ethnicity: White 76.3% · Black 9.6% · Hispanic 8% · Asian 2.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
191 precincts reported in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37197-EARLY VOTING | Republican | R+62.0 | 12,594 |
| 37097-CC3-1 | Republican | R+21.1 | 8,722 |
| 37097-DV1B-1 | Republican | R+42.8 | 8,560 |
| 37097-FT | Republican | R+41.4 | 7,736 |
| 37097-DV2B-1 | Republican | R+25.5 | 6,029 |
| 37109-WP32 | Republican | R+35.7 | 5,602 |
| 37097-CC1 | Republican | R+24.4 | 5,247 |
| 37097-BA-1 | Republican | R+44.5 | 5,192 |
| 37097-CC2 | Republican | R+18.9 | 5,042 |
| 37097-DV1A1A | Republican | R+40.6 | 4,839 |
| 37035-31 | Republican | R+49.8 | 4,747 |
| 37097-DV2A-1 | Republican | R+33.7 | 4,683 |
| 37097-BE | Republican | R+40.9 | 4,297 |
| 37109-LW31 | Republican | R+29.8 | 4,270 |
| 37109-TA37 | Republican | R+37.5 | 4,154 |
| 37097-DV3A | Republican | R+29.5 | 4,089 |
| 37097-CC4-1 | Republican | R+31.9 | 4,033 |
| 37097-CD | Republican | R+54.8 | 3,908 |
| 37067-132 | Republican | R+2.8 | 3,828 |
| 37035-29 | Republican | R+47.8 | 3,694 |
All 191 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model North Carolina's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open North Carolina's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →