electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › North Carolina's 10th Congressional District

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.

Model North Carolina's 10th Congressional District →

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District — highlighted within North Carolina's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+19.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Pat Harrigan Republican

2024 result

Republican R+19.3

2024 votes cast

406,695

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 757,806 people, median age 42.3, median household income $65,827.

Population

757,806

Median age

42.3

Median household income

$65,827

Bachelor's degree or higher

25%

Race & ethnicity: White 76.3% · Black 9.6% · Hispanic 8% · Asian 2.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

191 precincts reported in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
37197-EARLY VOTING Republican R+62.0 12,594
37097-CC3-1 Republican R+21.1 8,722
37097-DV1B-1 Republican R+42.8 8,560
37097-FT Republican R+41.4 7,736
37097-DV2B-1 Republican R+25.5 6,029
37109-WP32 Republican R+35.7 5,602
37097-CC1 Republican R+24.4 5,247
37097-BA-1 Republican R+44.5 5,192
37097-CC2 Republican R+18.9 5,042
37097-DV1A1A Republican R+40.6 4,839
37035-31 Republican R+49.8 4,747
37097-DV2A-1 Republican R+33.7 4,683
37097-BE Republican R+40.9 4,297
37109-LW31 Republican R+29.8 4,270
37109-TA37 Republican R+37.5 4,154
37097-DV3A Republican R+29.5 4,089
37097-CC4-1 Republican R+31.9 4,033
37097-CD Republican R+54.8 3,908
37067-132 Republican R+2.8 3,828
37035-29 Republican R+47.8 3,694

All 191 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model North Carolina's 10th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open North Carolina's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents North Carolina's 10th Congressional District?
Pat Harrigan (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District?
R+19.3 — 155,383 Democratic, 233,814 Republican, of 406,695 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in North Carolina

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →