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North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.

Model North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District →

North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within North Carolina's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+77.4 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Gregory F. Murphy Republican

2024 result

Republican R+77.4

2024 votes cast

320,841

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Gregory F. Murphy's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#161 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage91.6%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 752,729 people, median age 37.5, median household income $63,275.

Population

752,729

Median age

37.5

Median household income

$63,275

Bachelor's degree or higher

24.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 64.6% · Black 17.6% · Hispanic 11.6% · Asian 1.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

243 precincts reported in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
37147-EV BOYD LEE Republican R+80.3 11,304
37013-EV-BOE Republican R+76.8 11,049
37147-EV WINTERVILLE Republican R+71.6 10,386
37055-EARLY VOTING KDH Republican R+72.3 8,932
37147-EV AG CENTER Republican R+69.7 7,624
37147-EV STUDENT CENTER Republican R+59.8 7,512
37133-EN03 Republican R+69.0 6,238
37049-02 Republican R+76.3 5,709
37147-EV AYDEN Republican R+81.7 5,284
37133-SF18 Republican R+84.3 4,630
37055-BOE Republican D+56.4 4,621
37055-EARLY VOTING BOE Republican R+78.2 4,621
37013-EV-CHO Republican R+84.4 4,501
37049-23 Republican R+79.6 4,392
37147-EV EPPES Independent R+40.3 4,335
37133-RL09 Republican R+85.2 4,269
37133-SW19 Republican R+84.7 4,071
37133-BC21 Republican R+83.0 3,990
37133-BM08 Republican R+71.8 3,969
37133-FS16 Republican R+83.4 3,816

All 243 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District?
Gregory F. Murphy (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District?
R+77.4 — 0 Democratic, 248,276 Republican, of 320,841 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District?
North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.5 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 161 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 91.6%.

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