electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › North Carolina's 12th Congressional District

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how North Carolina actually voted.

Model North Carolina's 12th Congressional District →

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District — highlighted within North Carolina's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+48.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Alma S. Adams Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+48.0

2024 votes cast

350,755

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Alma S. Adams's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#90 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

8.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 754,074 people, median age 36, median household income $77,079.

Population

754,074

Median age

36

Median household income

$77,079

Bachelor's degree or higher

40%

Race & ethnicity: White 40.7% · Black 34.8% · Hispanic 15.2% · Asian 5.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

149 precincts reported in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
37119-ABSENTEE BY MAIL Democratic D+49.1 20,170
37119-BY MAIL Democratic D+49.1 20,170
37119-212 Democratic D+67.6 8,715
37119-145 Democratic D+44.9 8,002
37119-211 Democratic D+63.1 7,385
37119-201 Democratic D+43.1 6,716
37119-022 Democratic D+16.4 6,631
37119-011 Democratic D+41.0 6,458
37119-203 Democratic D+59.8 6,143
37119-222 Democratic D+60.4 5,275
37119-135 Democratic D+76.0 5,236
37119-089 Democratic D+46.9 4,541
37119-210 Democratic D+77.0 4,327
37119-149 Democratic D+67.4 4,197
37119-151 Democratic D+61.1 4,189
37119-030 Democratic D+63.3 3,980
37119-204.1 Democratic D+69.2 3,875
37119-009 Democratic D+33.7 3,631
37119-213 Democratic D+75.2 3,537
37119-013 Democratic D+53.4 3,417

All 149 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model North Carolina's 12th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the North Carolina's 12th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open North Carolina's 12th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents North Carolina's 12th Congressional District?
Alma S. Adams (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District?
D+48.0 — 259,627 Democratic, 91,128 Republican, of 350,755 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for North Carolina's 12th Congressional District?
North Carolina's 12th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 8.6 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 90 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in North Carolina

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →