electionsmcp › races › Michigan State House District 53
Michigan State House District 53
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan State House District 53 →
Current officeholder
Brenda Carter Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+31.7
2024 votes cast
38,621
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
27 precincts reported in Michigan State House District 53's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 17 Ward 0 | Republican | R+7.7 | 2,151 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 18 Ward 0 | Republican | R+9.2 | 2,090 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 16 Ward 0 | Republican | R+17.1 | 2,074 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 20 Ward 0 | Republican | R+10.1 | 2,028 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 19 Ward 0 | Republican | R+7.5 | 1,976 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 21 Ward 0 | Republican | R+4.0 | 1,936 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 15 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+5.7 | 1,918 |
| 26125-WATERFORD TOWNSHIP 14 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+9.2 | 1,700 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 3 Ward 1 | Democratic | D+66.7 | 1,595 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 9 Ward 4 | Democratic | D+38.5 | 1,552 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 13 Ward 6 | Democratic | D+57.0 | 1,386 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 8 Ward 3 | Democratic | D+43.3 | 1,386 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 14 Ward 6 | Democratic | D+60.1 | 1,370 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 1 Ward 1 | Democratic | D+85.2 | 1,286 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 10 Ward 4 | Democratic | D+26.7 | 1,268 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 6 Ward 2 | Democratic | D+66.7 | 1,256 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 11 Ward 5 | Democratic | D+44.9 | 1,249 |
| 26125-AUBURN HILLS CITY 4 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+6.6 | 1,225 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 15 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+81.5 | 1,201 |
| 26125-PONTIAC CITY 18 Ward 0 | Democratic | D+83.4 | 1,159 |
All 27 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan State House District 53 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan State House District 53 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan State House District 53 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Michigan State House District 53?
Brenda Carter (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan State House District 53?
D+31.7 — 25,432 Democratic, 13,189 Republican, of 38,621 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.