electionsmcp › races › Michigan State House District 45
Michigan State House District 45
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Michigan actually voted.
Model Michigan State House District 45 →
Current officeholder
Sarah Lightner Republican
2024 result
Republican R+39.2
2024 votes cast
50,883
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
40 precincts reported in Michigan State House District 45's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26077-Climax Township Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+16.2 | 2,919 |
| 26077-Charleston Township Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+19.4 | 2,540 |
| 26025-Leroy Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+43.7 | 2,447 |
| 26025-Emmett Charter Township, Precinct 4 | Republican | D+33.0 | 2,005 |
| 26025-Marshall Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+22.7 | 1,986 |
| 26025-City of Marshall, Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+0.0 | 1,922 |
| 26025-City of Marshall, Precinct 2 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,887 |
| 26075-Spring Arbor Township, Precinct 2 | Republican | D+43.0 | 1,761 |
| 26025-Emmett Charter Township, Precinct 2 | Republican | D+36.3 | 1,692 |
| 26025-Newton Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+45.3 | 1,685 |
| 26075-Concord Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+51.8 | 1,588 |
| 26077-Wakeshma Township Precinct 1 | Democratic | D+15.7 | 1,510 |
| 26075-Spring Arbor Township, Precinct 3 | Republican | D+44.3 | 1,468 |
| 26075-Tompkins Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+54.1 | 1,465 |
| 26075-Rives Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+39.5 | 1,459 |
| 26075-Parma Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+41.2 | 1,450 |
| 26075-Henrietta Township, Precinct 2 | Republican | D+41.6 | 1,448 |
| 26075-Henrietta Township, Precinct 1NW | Republican | D+35.5 | 1,367 |
| 26025-Emmett Charter Township, Precinct 3 | Republican | D+20.8 | 1,326 |
| 26025-Athens Township, Precinct 1 | Republican | D+46.3 | 1,321 |
All 40 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Michigan State House District 45 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Michigan State House District 45 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Michigan State House District 45 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Michigan State House District 45?
Sarah Lightner (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Michigan State House District 45?
R+39.2 — 15,472 Democratic, 35,411 Republican, of 50,883 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.