electionsmcp › races › Kentucky State House District 86
Kentucky State House District 86
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky State House District 86 →
Current officeholder
Tom Smith Republican
2024 result
Republican R+53.3
2024 votes cast
28,656
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
35 precincts reported in Kentucky State House District 86's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21125-B103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,600 |
| 21125-A102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,291 |
| 21121-E105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,019 |
| 21121-C103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 833 |
| 21121-A105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 697 |
| 21121-A106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 593 |
| 21125-B102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 589 |
| 21121-A104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 585 |
| 21125-C101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 517 |
| 21121-E104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 515 |
| 21121-B108 | Republican | R+100.0 | 484 |
| 21121-D104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 464 |
| 21125-F103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 456 |
| 21121-D105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 446 |
| 21121-E106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 410 |
| 21121-C104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 409 |
| 21121-E103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 363 |
| 21121-B105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 358 |
| 21121-D101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 323 |
| 21121-A103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 308 |
All 35 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky State House District 86 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky State House District 86 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky State House District 86 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Kentucky State House District 86?
Tom Smith (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky State House District 86?
R+53.3 — 0 Democratic, 15,285 Republican, of 28,656 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.